LUB vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 7, 2019 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Mikkel Michelsen0 3 2 1 28+2
- 10Paweł Miesiąc3 1 1 3 19+1
- 11Robert Lambert0 1 3 1 38+1
- 12Dawid Lampart2 2 2 2 311+1
- 13Andreas JonssonW0
- 14Viktor Trofymov1 0 2 36+1
- 15Wiktor Lampart2 3 1 1 07
- 1Antonio Lindbäck1 3 0 W 2 17+1
- 2Kenneth Bjerre2 3 3 3 1 214+1
- 3Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 3 2 3 011+1
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 0 1 0 D5
- 6Patryk Rolnicki0 0 00
- 7Marcin Turowski3 1 04
Heat by heat
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Marcin Turowski · GRU3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1*
- Patryk Rolnicki · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Marcin Turowski · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · LUB1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Patryk Rolnicki · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Robert Lambert · LUB3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Robert Lambert · LUB1
- Patryk Rolnicki · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Robert Lambert · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRUD
- Dawid Lampart · LUB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 7 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h N
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LUB | GRU | LUB | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawid Lampart | 5 | 4.9 | 11 | +6.1 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 5 | 5.5 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 12.2 | 14 | +1.8 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 1 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 12.1 | 7 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.