CZE vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 5, 2019 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa

Results

CZE 47 : 43 GOR

CZE

9Leon Madsen3 3 3 2 314
10Paweł Przedpełski0 2 1 2 05+1
11Fredrik Lindgren3 2 3 2 010
12Adrian Miedziński0 1 1 13+2
13Matej Zagar2 2 3 1 19+1
14Jakub Miśkowiak3 0 03
15Michał Gruchalski2 1 U3+2

GOR

1Krzysztof Kasprzak2 0 1 14
2Anders Thomsen1 3 2 3 3 113+2
3Szymon Woźniak1 3 2 06+1
4Peter Kildemand2 1 0 03
5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 1 2 3 2 213+1
6Rafał Karczmarz1 0 0 34
7Mateusz Bartkowiak0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 163.45 s3:3

Heat 263.76 s5:1

Heat 363.27 s3:3

Heat 463.39 s3:3

Heat 563.57 s3:3

Heat 663.88 s2:4

Heat 763.31 s5:1

Heat 863.65 s3:3

Heat 963.53 s4:2

Heat 1063.66 s4:2

Heat 1164.32 s3:3

Heat 1264.52 s2:4

Heat 1364.14 s3:3

Heat 1464.02 s1:5

Heat 1564.09 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 16 → 13 °C; Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Wind: 9 km/h NE; gusts up to 22 km/h; Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 44 %; Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	4	8	−4	+4
	CZE	GOR	CZE	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead CZE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+4	83 %
5	+4	83 %
6	+2	74 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+8	94 %
10	+10	96 %
11	+10	97 %
12	+8	98 %
13	+8	98 %
14	+4	94 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Anders Thomsen	6	7.2	13	+5.8
Leon Madsen	5	11.6	14	+2.4
Szymon Woźniak	4	5.2	6	+0.8
Matej Zagar	5	8.3	9	+0.7
Fredrik Lindgren	5	9.4	10	+0.6
Rafał Karczmarz	4	3.6	4	+0.4
Michał Gruchalski	3	3.0	3	+0.0
Jakub Miśkowiak	3	3.2	3	-0.2
Bartosz Zmarzlik	6	13.7	13	-0.7
Paweł Przedpełski	5	5.7	5	-0.7
Adrian Miedziński	4	4.4	3	-1.4
Mateusz Bartkowiak	2	2.1	0	-2.1
Peter Kildemand	4	5.2	3	-2.2
Krzysztof Kasprzak	4	7.5	4	-3.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 64.5263.27 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 37.7:25.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.50 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source