GRU vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 17, 2018 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 2 3 211+1
- 10Kai Huckenbeck00
- 11Krzysztof Buczkowski2 1 3 2 210+2
- 12Antonio Lindbäck3 2 2 1 19+1
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 3 3 113+1
- 14Dawid WawrzyniakU D 00
- 15Kamil Wieczorek3 1 04
- 16Krystian Pieszczek3 0 25+1
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 3 1 3 3 316+1
- 2Artur Mroczka1 0 2 W3
- 3Jakub Jamróg1 2 1 1 05
- 4Peter Kildemand2 W2
- 5Kenneth Bjerre2 1 W D3
- 6Patryk Rolnicki2 0 1 14
- 7Kacper Konieczny1 01
- 8Viktor Kulakov0 1 34
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU0
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU3
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR2
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRUU
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRUD
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU2*
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Peter Kildemand · TAR2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TARD
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1*
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 30 → 29 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h W
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 25 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | TAR | GRU | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 3 | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 13.9 | 16 | +2.1 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 12.1 | 13 | +0.9 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Kacper Konieczny | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Peter Kildemand | 2 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Dawid Wawrzyniak | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 8.0 | 3 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.