CZE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 17, 2018 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen3 2 3 3 314
- 10Tobiasz Musielak0 1 01+1
- 11Adrian Miedziński2 3 1 2 W8+2
- 12Matej Zagar3 2 2 0 29+1
- 13Fredrik Lindgren2 2 3 3 111
- 14Bartosz Świącik1 0 12+1
- 15Michał Gruchalski3 1 0 04+1
- 1Szymon Woźniak1 0 2 3 17+1
- 2Martin Vaculik2 1 1 15+2
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak1 3 2 2 2 010
- 4Grzegorz Walasek0 1 12+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 1 3 215+1
- 6Rafał Karczmarz00
- 7Hubert Czerniawski2 0 0 02
- 8Alan Szczotka00
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE3
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR2
- Bartosz Świącik · CZE1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Matej Zagar · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1*
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1
- Bartosz Świącik · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1*
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1*
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Bartosz Świącik · CZE1*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Matej Zagar · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 24 → 21 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h SE
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| CZE | GOR | CZE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.2 | 14 | +4.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 13.3 | 15 | +1.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 4 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 11.0 | 11 | +0.0 |
| Hubert Czerniawski | 4 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Alan Szczotka | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Bartosz Świącik | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 1 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.