TOR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 10, 2018 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Jason Doyle2 3 1 3 312
- 10Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 3 3 08+1
- 11Rune Holta1 1 D 3 27+1
- 12Paweł Przedpełski00
- 13Chris Holder2 3 3 2 111+1
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński2 0 02+1
- 15Daniel Kaczmarek3 1 04+1
- 16Jack Holder2 3 16
- 1Leon Madsen3 3 1 2 3 214+1
- 2Tobiasz Musielak0 0 2 02
- 3Adrian Miedziński3 1 2 17+1
- 4Matej Zagar2 2 0 04+1
- 5Fredrik Lindgren3 2 2 2 1 010
- 6Michał Gruchalski1 0 12+1
- 7Adrian Woźniak0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2*
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1
- Adrian Woźniak · CZE0
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2*
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR1*
- Adrian Woźniak · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Rune Holta · TOR1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Matej Zagar · CZE0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Adrian Woźniak · CZE1
- Rune Holta · TORD
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Matej Zagar · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 28 → 25 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h NW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | CZE | TOR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Jack Holder | 3 | 3.1 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 12.0 | 14 | +2.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 6.3 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Adrian Woźniak | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 13.7 | 10 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.