GRU vs WRO

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 10, 2018 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz

Results

GRU 42 : 48 WRO

GRU

9Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 2 0 2 312+1
10Kai Huckenbeck0 11+1
11Antonio Lindbäck0 11
12Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 2 2 07+1
13Artem Laguta3 1 2 3 3 214+1
14Dawid Wawrzyniak2 0 02
15Kamil Wieczorek0 1 01
16Krystian Pieszczek3 0 14

WRO

1Tai Woffinden1 3 3 3 010+1
3Maciej Janowski2 2 1 1 39+3
4Vaclav Milik3 3 0 3 110
5Max FrickeW 00
6Maksym Drabik3 3 1 2 110+1
7Patryk Wojdyło1 2 03
8Gleb Chugunov2 D 1 2 16

Heat by heat

Heat 167.35 s3:3

Heat 267.39 s2:4

Heat 367.33 s1:5

Heat 466.28 s4:2

Heat 567.86 s3:3

Heat 667.03 s1:5

Heat 767.25 s3:3

Heat 867.73 s2:4

Heat 967.23 s5:1

Heat 1068.87 s5:1

Heat 1168.37 s3:3

Heat 1268.19 s1:5

Heat 1368.58 s2:4

Heat 1468.28 s2:4

Heat 1569.15 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 28 → 25 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 4 km/h NW; gusts up to 25 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.2 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 38 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	7	11	−4	+4
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	6	12	−6	+6
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	GRU	WRO	GRU	WRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GRU

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	-2	54 %
3	-6	32 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-4	34 %
6	-8	18 %
7	-8	13 %
8	-10	7 %
9	-6	20 %
10	-2	36 %
11	-2	36 %
12	-6	6 %
13	-8	2 %
14	-10	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Przemysław Pawlicki	6	7.7	12	+4.3
Vaclav Milik	5	8.6	10	+1.4
Gleb Chugunov	5	4.6	6	+1.4
Patryk Wojdyło	3	1.9	3	+1.1
Artem Laguta	6	13.1	14	+0.9
Krystian Pieszczek	3	3.3	4	+0.7
Krzysztof Buczkowski	5	6.7	7	+0.3
Dawid Wawrzyniak	3	1.9	2	+0.1
Kai Huckenbeck	2	1.7	1	-0.7
Maksym Drabik	5	10.8	10	-0.8
Kamil Wieczorek	3	2.0	1	-1.0
Tai Woffinden	5	11.2	10	-1.2
Antonio Lindbäck	2	2.3	1	-1.3
Maciej Janowski	5	10.5	9	-1.5
Max Fricke	2	3.7	0	-3.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 69.1566.28 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 25.3:28.7 outside C + D

Trend ◀ +1.37 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source