GOR vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 10, 2018 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 49 : 35 ZIE
GOR
ZIE

Heat by heat

Heat 160.16 s3:3
Heat 260.17 s5:1
Heat 360.15 s3:3
Heat 459.46 s3:3
Heat 560.60 s3:3
Heat 659.56 s3:3
Heat 760.54 s3:3
Heat 860.12 s5:1
Heat 961.29 s5:1
Heat 1060.16 s3:3
Heat 1160.24 s3:3
Heat 1260.87 s4:2
Heat 1360.46 s3:3
Heat 1460.78 s3:3
Heat 15

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Cloudy → Rain
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
27 → 19 °C
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind
12 km/h SW
gusts up to 43 km/h
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting
0.6 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
61 %
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41410+4−4
5–79900
8–10135+8−8
11–13108+2−2
14–153300
GORZIEGORZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GOR
02468101214114
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+486 %
3+482 %
4+483 %
5+483 %
6+482 %
7+482 %
8+894 %
9+1299 %
10+12100 %
11+12100 %
12+14100 %
13+14100 %
14+14100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Krzysztof Kasprzak58.711+2.3
Grzegorz Zengota68.510+1.5
Hubert Czerniawski31.83+1.2
Bartosz Zmarzlik510.812+1.2
Rafał Karczmarz34.05+1.0
Szymon Woźniak59.310+0.7
Linus Sundstroem54.75+0.3
Michael Jepsen Jensen611.010-1.0
Alex Zgardziński43.62-1.6
Mateusz Tonder21.70-1.7
Grzegorz Walasek44.83-1.8
Patryk Dudek613.011-2.0
Kacper Gomolski33.61-2.6
Piotr Protasiewicz34.31-3.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.2959.46 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 31.0:30.3 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −0.67 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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