ZIE vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 27, 2018 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 43 : 47 GOR

ZIE

9Grzegorz Zengota2 0 13
10Jacob Thorssell0 1 01
11Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 2 2 1 213+1
12Piotr Protasiewicz1 1 1 W 25+2
13Patryk Dudek1 3 3 1 3 314+1
14Sebastian Niedźwiedź2 0 02+1
15Alex Zgardziński3 2 0 05

GOR

1Szymon Woźniak3 2 1 3 09+1
2Linus Sundstroem1 0 2 25+1
3Krzysztof Kasprzak0 1 2 3 17+2
4Grzegorz Walasek2 2 3 3 010
5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 2 112+1
6Rafał Karczmarz1 2 14+1
7Hubert Czerniawski0 0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 160.22 s2:4

Heat 261.03 s5:1

Heat 360.43 s4:2

Heat 459.88 s3:3

Heat 560.56 s4:2

Heat 660.66 s3:3

Heat 760.66 s1:5

Heat 861.03 s3:3

Heat 961.23 s1:5

Heat 1060.22 s3:3

Heat 1161.43 s1:5

Heat 1261.03 s2:4

Heat 1360.60 s1:5

Heat 1461.37 s5:1

Heat 1561.03 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 28 → 26 °C; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Wind: 17 km/h E; gusts up to 29 km/h; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 34 %; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	7	11	−4	+4
11–13	4	14	−10	+10
14–15	10	2	+8	−8
	ZIE	GOR	ZIE	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead ZIE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+4	83 %
5	+6	90 %
6	+6	88 %
7	+2	70 %
8	+2	71 %
9	-2	44 %
10	-2	36 %
11	-6	12 %
12	-8	7 %
13	-12	0 %
14	-8	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Grzegorz Walasek	5	4.8	10	+5.2
Michael Jepsen Jensen	6	11.2	13	+1.8
Alex Zgardziński	4	3.3	5	+1.7
Bartosz Zmarzlik	5	10.9	12	+1.1
Linus Sundstroem	4	4.2	5	+0.8
Patryk Dudek	6	13.4	14	+0.6
Szymon Woźniak	5	8.6	9	+0.4
Sebastian Niedźwiedź	3	2.0	2	+0.0
Rafał Karczmarz	3	4.3	4	-0.3
Grzegorz Zengota	3	4.5	3	-1.5
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	6.8	5	-1.8
Hubert Czerniawski	3	1.9	0	-1.9
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	9.8	7	-2.8
Jacob Thorssell	3	4.3	1	-3.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.4359.88 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 33.7:29.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.77 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source