CZE vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 27, 2018 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen2 3 2 3 313
- 10Tobiasz Musielak1 1 0 13+2
- 11Fredrik Lindgren3 1 3 2 110+1
- 12Adrian Miedziński1 2 2 2 310+2
- 13Matej Zagar3 1 3 2 09
- 14Mateusz Świdnicki0 0 00
- 15Michał Gruchalski2 1 14
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 2 3 2 215
- 2Paweł Przedpełski0 0 00
- 3Rune Holta2 3 3 3 1 012+1
- 4Niels Kristian Iversen0 2 1 03+1
- 5Chris Holder2 2 1 16
- 6Daniel Kaczmarek3 0 14
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 0 01
- 8Jack Holder00
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Matej Zagar · CZE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2*
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Matej Zagar · CZE3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Rune Holta · TOR1*
- Matej Zagar · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Rune Holta · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 24 → 22 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| CZE | TOR | CZE | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 5.1 | 10 | +4.9 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 11.7 | 15 | +3.3 |
| Rune Holta | 6 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 3 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Jack Holder | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 12.0 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.