WRO vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 20, 2018 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław

Results

WRO 48 : 42 ZIE

WRO

9Tai Woffinden3 2 3 3 011
10Damian Dróżdż1 1 02+1
11Maciej Janowski3 3 2 3 314+1
12Vaclav Milik0 W 3 1 26
13Max Fricke2 2 1 16+1
14Patryk Wojdyło0 0 00
15Maksym Drabik2 1 3 2 19+2

ZIE

1Grzegorz ZengotaD 2 2 15+1
2Jacob Thorssell2 1 0 03
3Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 1 3 0 210+2
4Piotr Protasiewicz2 1 2 05
5Patryk Dudek3 3 1 2 3 113+1
6Sebastian Niedźwiedź1 0 23
7Alex Zgardziński3 0 03

Heat by heat

Heat 164.70 s4:2

Heat 264.27 s2:4

Heat 364.43 s3:3

Heat 463.86 s3:3

Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
Max Fricke · WRO2
Maksym Drabik · WRO1*
Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0

Heat 561.79 s3:3

Heat 663.73 s2:4

Heat 764.64 s3:3

Heat 864.60 s4:2

Heat 964.03 s3:3

Heat 1063.69 s5:1

Heat 1164.77 s3:3

Heat 1264.37 s3:3

Heat 1364.60 s4:2

Heat 1465.02 s3:3

Heat 1564.58 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 21 °C; Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Wind: 16 km/h NE; gusts up to 28 km/h; Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 39 %; Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	12	12	0	0
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	10	8	+2	−2
14–15	6	6	0	0
	WRO	ZIE	WRO	ZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead WRO

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	0	64 %
3	0	64 %
4	0	62 %
5	0	64 %
6	-2	48 %
7	-2	46 %
8	0	57 %
9	0	56 %
10	+4	84 %
11	+4	88 %
12	+4	86 %
13	+6	96 %
14	+6	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Maciej Janowski	5	10.4	14	+3.6
Patryk Dudek	6	11.9	13	+1.1
Tai Woffinden	5	10.0	11	+1.0
Alex Zgardziński	3	2.1	3	+0.9
Sebastian Niedźwiedź	3	2.4	3	+0.6
Max Fricke	4	5.7	6	+0.3
Damian Dróżdż	3	2.0	2	+0.0
Maksym Drabik	5	9.4	9	-0.4
Piotr Protasiewicz	4	5.4	5	-0.4
Michael Jepsen Jensen	6	10.4	10	-0.4
Vaclav Milik	5	6.8	6	-0.8
Grzegorz Zengota	4	6.5	5	-1.5
Patryk Wojdyło	3	1.6	0	-1.6
Jacob Thorssell	4	5.4	3	-2.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.0261.79 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 25.0:32.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −3.87 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source