TAR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 20, 2018 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 2 213
- 10Artur Mroczka1 1 2 3 W7+1
- 11Jakub Jamróg2 1 3 2 210+1
- 12Peter Kildemand0 22
- 13Kenneth Bjerre3 2 2 1 19+1
- 14Dawid Knapik1 0 12+1
- 15Patryk Rolnicki3 1 15+1
- 16Viktor Kulakov1 01
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 3 0 3 011
- 2Kai Huckenbeck0 00
- 3Krzysztof Buczkowski1 3 1 2 18
- 4Antonio Lindbäck3 1 0 15
- 5Artem Laguta2 2 2 3 3 315
- 6Kamil Wieczorek2 0 0 02
- 7Dawid Wawrzyniak0 00
- 8Krystian Pieszczek00
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU0
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU2
- Dawid Knapik · TAR1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Peter Kildemand · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Peter Kildemand · TAR2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Dawid Knapik · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR1
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Dawid Knapik · TAR1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 20 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NE
- gusts up to 31 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TAR | GRU | TAR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.6 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 12.9 | 15 | +2.1 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 4 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Peter Kildemand | 2 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Dawid Knapik | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Dawid Wawrzyniak | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.