ZIE vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 6, 2018 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Grzegorz Zengota3 2 0 2 310
- 10Jacob Thorssell1 1 2 1 16+2
- 11Michael Jepsen Jensen3 1 3 3 111+1
- 12Piotr Protasiewicz1 2 1 15+1
- 13Patryk Dudek3 3 3 2 314
- 14Sebastian NiedźwiedźU 0 11
- 15Alex Zgardziński2 1 03
- 1Jason DoyleD 3 2 D 05
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen2 0 3 27
- 3Chris Holder0 1 3 04+1
- 4Paweł Przedpełski2 2 1 3 210
- 5Rune Holta2 3 2 0 D7
- 6Daniel Kaczmarek3 0 25
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 0 01
- 8Jack Holder11+1
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE1
- Jason Doyle · TORD
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIEU
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR2
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE1
- Jason Doyle · TORD
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Rune Holta · TOR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE1
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Rune Holta · TORD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h NE
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| ZIE | TOR | ZIE | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.6 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.7 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 11.5 | 14 | +2.5 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Jack Holder | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.3 | 5 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.