GOR vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 29, 2018 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak2 3 1 3 211+1
- 10Grzegorz Walasek1 1 2 2 17+2
- 11Szymon Woźniak3 2 3 3 314
- 12Linus Sundstroem1 0 W 23+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 W12
- 14Hubert Czerniawski1 0 12
- 15Alan Szczotka3 1 04
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 3 2 u13
- 2Artur Mroczka0 1 1 0 13+1
- 3Peter Kildemand2 2 0 1 1 W6
- 4Jakub JamrógU 11+1
- 5Kenneth Bjerre2 2 2 0 3 211
- 6Patryk Rolnicki2 D 1 03
- 7Kacper Konieczny0 T0
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Alan Szczotka · GOR3
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR2
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Peter Kildemand · TAR2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Jakub Jamróg · TARU
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Alan Szczotka · GOR1
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Peter Kildemand · TAR2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1*
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TARD
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Peter Kildemand · TAR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR2*
- Peter Kildemand · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR2*
- Peter Kildemand · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 19 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GOR | TAR | GOR | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.9 | 14 | +5.1 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.0 | 12 | +0.0 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 11.0 | 11 | -0.0 |
| Hubert Czerniawski | 3 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 4 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Kacper Konieczny | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 2 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.