ZIE vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 22, 2018 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Grzegorz Zengota3 1 0 2 39
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen0 3 1 2 17+1
- 11Patryk Dudek1 3 3 3 212
- 12Jacob Thorssell0 2 1 14+2
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz2 1 3 0 06+1
- 14Sebastian NiedźwiedźW 0 11
- 15Alex Zgardziński2 3 05
- 1Leon Madsen2 0 1 2 16+2
- 2Tobiasz Musielak1 1 2 1 27+1
- 3Adrian Miedziński3 2 2 3 010+2
- 4Fredrik Lindgren2 3 3 3 314+1
- 5Matej Zagar1 2 2 05
- 6Michał Gruchalski3 0 03
- 7Mateusz Świdnicki1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE3
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE0
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE1*
- Matej Zagar · CZE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 4 km/h SE
- gusts up to 14 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ZIE | CZE | ZIE | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 5.5 | 10 | +4.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 11.0 | 14 | +3.0 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 8.5 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.7 | 6 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.