TAR vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 22, 2018 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen2 2 3 3 313+2
- 10Artur Mroczka3 3 0 2 08
- 11Peter Kildemand00
- 12Jakub Jamróg3 0 3 2 210+1
- 13Kenneth Bjerre3 3 3 1 212+2
- 14Kacper Konieczny1 0 01
- 15Patryk RolnickiD 1 01
- 16Viktor Kulakov3 1 26
- 1Paweł Przedpełski1 1 13+2
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen0 2 2 3 1 19
- 3Jason Doyle2 2 1 05+1
- 4Chris Holder1 1 2 1 0 05+2
- 5Rune Holta2 1 W 14
- 6Daniel Kaczmarek3 0 2 3 311
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński2 02+1
Heat by heat
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2*
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TARD
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Peter Kildemand · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2*
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR2
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1*
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2*
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 18 → 10 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h N
- gusts up to 16 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TAR | TOR | TAR | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 4.8 | 11 | +6.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 6.7 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 3 | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 2 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Kacper Konieczny | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Peter Kildemand | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 8.4 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 10.8 | 5 | -5.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.