ZIE vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 15, 2018 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 1 3 210
- 10Kacper Gomolski1 1 0 13+2
- 11Patryk Dudek3 3 3 3 315
- 12Grzegorz Zengota0 2 2 2 06+3
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz3 2 3 3 112
- 14Sebastian Niedźwiedź2 0 13+1
- 15Alex Zgardziński3 1 04
- 1Antonio Lindbäck3 1 2 2 08
- 2Kai Huckenbeck11+1
- 3Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 2 0 18+1
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 3 2 1 210+1
- 5Artem Laguta2 3 1 0 39
- 6Kamil Wieczorek0 0 00
- 7Dawid Wawrzyniak1 0 01
- 8Krystian Pieszczek0 00
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Kacper Gomolski · ZIE1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU0
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE3
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE2*
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU1
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Kacper Gomolski · ZIE1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU1*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Kacper Gomolski · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Kacper Gomolski · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE1
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 22 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h S
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ZIE | GRU | ZIE | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 11.3 | 15 | +3.7 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Dawid Wawrzyniak | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.