TOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 14, 2018 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 13+1
- 10Paweł Przedpełski2 3 2 1 210
- 11Jason Doyle1 1 2 3 07+2
- 12Chris Holder3 2 3 3 112
- 13Rune Holta2 2 3 2 211
- 14Marcin Kościelski1 0 W1+1
- 15Daniel Kaczmarek2 1 03+1
- 16Jack Holder00
- 1Tai Woffinden3 3 1 2 3 315+1
- 2Damian Dróżdż00
- 3Maciej Janowski2 1 3 W D6
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs00
- 5Vaclav Milik3 0 1 04
- 6Maksym Drabik3 2 1 17
- 7Patryk Wojdyło0 0 00
- 8Max Fricke0 3 2 3 2 111
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1*
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR2
- Marcin Kościelski · TOR1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · WRO0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Marcin Kościelski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Max Fricke · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Patryk Wojdyło · WRO0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Max Fricke · WRO2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Maciej Janowski · WROD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 → 15 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h S
- gusts up to 23 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | WRO | TOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 5 | 6.9 | 12 | +5.1 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 6.2 | 11 | +4.8 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.5 | 10 | +3.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 13.2 | 15 | +1.8 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Maksym Drabik | 4 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Jack Holder | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 3 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.1 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 8.0 | 4 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.