CZE vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 13, 2018 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen1 3 3 1 311+1
- 10Tobiasz Musielak0 2 2 26+3
- 11Fredrik Lindgren3 2 3 2 313
- 12Adrian Miedziński2 U 2 2 28+3
- 13Matej Zagar3 2 2 3 111
- 14Adrian Woźniak1 0 D1
- 15Michał Gruchalski3 1 04
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 3 3 217
- 2Artur Mroczka2 1 1 0 15+1
- 3Peter Kildemand1 3 1 1 06
- 4Jakub Jamróg0 1 01
- 5Kenneth Bjerre2 1 1 0 04
- 6Patryk Rolnicki2 0 0 13
- 7Kacper KoniecznyW 00
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE3
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR2
- Adrian Woźniak · CZE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Peter Kildemand · TAR1
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
- Matej Zagar · CZE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Adrian Miedziński · CZEU
- Peter Kildemand · TAR3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1
- Adrian Woźniak · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE2*
- Peter Kildemand · TAR1
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Matej Zagar · CZE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE2*
- Peter Kildemand · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Adrian Woźniak · CZED
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Peter Kildemand · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 → 14 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SE
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| CZE | TAR | CZE | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 10.4 | 17 | +6.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 5.3 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 11.6 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 11.1 | 11 | -0.1 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Adrian Woźniak | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Konieczny | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 3 | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.4 | 4 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.