CZE vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 23, 2018 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen3 3 2 3 314
- 10Tobiasz Musielak1 2 1 04+2
- 11Fredrik Lindgren2 3 1 2 19
- 12Adrian Miedziński0 1 3 2 06+1
- 13Matej Zagar1 2 2 2 29+2
- 14Bartosz Świącik0 D T0
- 15Michał Gruchalski2 2 37
- 1Tai Woffinden2 2 0 3 1 210
- 3Maciej Janowski1 1 3 3 3 011
- 4Vaclav Milik3 3 0 1 07
- 5Max Fricke3 1 2 17
- 6Maksym Drabik3 0 1 0 15
- 7Patryk Wojdyło1 01
- 8Gleb Chugunov0 00
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE2
- Patryk Wojdyło · WRO1
- Bartosz Świącik · CZE0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE2
- Matej Zagar · CZE1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · WRO0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Bartosz Świącik · CZED
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE3
- Max Fricke · WRO2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 14 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h S
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| CZE | WRO | CZE | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michał Gruchalski | 3 | 3.2 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.9 | 14 | +2.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 11.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Bartosz Świącik | 3 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 9.5 | 5 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.