WRO vs CZE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 16, 2018 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław

Results

WRO 51 : 39 CZE
WRO
CZE

Heat by heat

Heat 165.21 s3:3
Heat 265.62 s4:2
Heat 365.16 s2:4
Heat 465.51 s5:1
Heat 564.49 s3:3
Heat 664.29 s4:2
Heat 765.73 s4:2
Heat 865.00 s1:5
Heat 965.07 s5:1
Heat 1065.22 s4:2
Heat 1165.13 s2:4
Heat 1265.11 s5:1
Heat 1364.88 s3:3
Heat 1465.46 s3:3
Heat 1564.74 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
21 → 17 °C
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Wind
8 km/h SE
gusts up to 15 km/h
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
49 %
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41410+4−4
5–7117+4−4
8–10108+2−2
11–13108+2−2
14–156600
WROCZEWROCZE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead WRO
024681012115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+277 %
3064 %
4+483 %
5+483 %
6+688 %
7+895 %
8+483 %
9+894 %
10+1096 %
11+895 %
12+12100 %
13+12100 %
14+12100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Maksym Drabik58.714+5.3
Patryk Wojdyło31.43+1.6
Tai Woffinden59.411+1.6
Matej Zagar57.08+1.0
Tobiasz Musielak21.22+0.8
Maciej Janowski59.410+0.6
Max Fricke57.98+0.1
Gleb Chugunov54.24-0.2
Leon Madsen614.414-0.4
Bartosz Świącik21.91-0.9
Vaclav Milik22.21-1.2
Michał Gruchalski43.32-1.3
Fredrik Lindgren612.39-3.3
Adrian Miedziński56.83-3.8

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.7364.29 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 38.3:26.3 outside C + D
Trend ◀ +1.37 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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