GOR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 9, 2018 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak2 3 D 3 311
- 10Linus Sundstroem0 1 1 13
- 11Martin Vaculik3 3 W 2 19
- 12Szymon Woźniak1 2 3 1 29+2
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 312
- 14Alan Szczotka1 1 02
- 15Rafał Karczmarz3 2 0 05+1
- 1Leon Madsen3 1 2 3 3 214+1
- 2Tobiasz Musielak1 0 1 02+1
- 3Adrian Miedziński0 2 2 2 2 311+1
- 4Andreas Lyager2 0 13
- 5Fredrik Lindgren1 2 2 05
- 6Michał Gruchalski2 0 1 1 U4
- 7Bartosz Świącik0 00
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR0
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE2
- Alan Szczotka · GOR1
- Bartosz Świącik · CZE0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Andreas Lyager · CZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Bartosz Świącik · CZE0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Alan Szczotka · GOR1
- Andreas Lyager · CZE0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GORD
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Andreas Lyager · CZE1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZEU
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 22 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h SE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 33 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GOR | CZE | GOR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Andreas Lyager | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 5 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 14.9 | 14 | -0.9 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Bartosz Świącik | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 8.6 | 5 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.