CZE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 2, 2018 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen2 3 3 2 111
- 10Tobiasz Musielak1 2 1 04+1
- 11Adrian Miedziński0 2 1 2 05+1
- 12Fredrik Lindgren2 1 2 1 06+2
- 13Matej Zagar3 W3
- 14Bartosz Świącik0 1 T1
- 15Michał Gruchalski3 1 2 3 211
- 16Andreas Lyager00
- 1Martin Vaculik3 3 3 3 315
- 2Grzegorz WalasekW 0 11
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 0 2 210+1
- 4Szymon Woźniak1 2 2 0 16+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 0 3 3 311
- 6Rafał Karczmarz2 1 1 15+1
- 7Alan Szczotka1 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2
- Alan Szczotka · GOR1*
- Bartosz Świącik · CZE0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE0
- Matej Zagar · CZE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Bartosz Świącik · CZE1
- Matej Zagar · CZEW
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE2*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1
- Andreas Lyager · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 24 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h E
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| CZE | GOR | CZE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michał Gruchalski | 5 | 4.6 | 11 | +6.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.0 | 15 | +6.0 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.5 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Matej Zagar | 2 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Andreas Lyager | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Bartosz Świącik | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.