TOR vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 26, 2018 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Jason Doyle2 1 1 1 38+3
- 10Chris Holder3 2 3 1 09
- 12Paweł Przedpełski1 1 13+2
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 2 3 111+1
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński2 0 24+2
- 15Daniel Kaczmarek3 1 3 29+1
- 16Jack Holder2 2 3 3 111
- 1Martin Vaculik1 3 1 1 06
- 2Szymon Woźniak0 0 00
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 2 0 2 211+1
- 4Grzegorz Walasek0 1 W 01+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 2 2 3 316
- 6Rafał Karczmarz0 0 00
- 7Alan Szczotka1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR1*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 10 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 2 km/h N
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | GOR | TOR | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 4 | 3.8 | 9 | +5.2 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 5.1 | 9 | +3.9 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 14.0 | 16 | +2.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 11.7 | 11 | -0.7 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.8 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 3 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.6 | 6 | -3.6 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 4.0 | 0 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.