CZE vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 31, 2018 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen3 3 3 1 212+1
- 10Tobiasz Musielak0 00
- 11Adrian Miedziński0 0 2 2 26+1
- 12Fredrik Lindgren2 1 1 2 39+1
- 13Matej Zagar1 2 2 3 08+1
- 14Bartosz Świącik2 0 13+1
- 15Michał Gruchalski3 2 1 06+1
- 16Andreas Lyager11
- 1Antonio Lindbäck1 2 3 3 110+2
- 2Kai Huckenbeck2 3 0 1 06+1
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki1 3 2 2 19
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski3 1 1 05+1
- 5Artem Laguta3 2 3 3 314
- 6Kamil Wieczorek1 W M1
- 7Dawid Wawrzyniak0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE3
- Bartosz Świącik · CZE2*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE2
- Matej Zagar · CZE1*
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Bartosz Świącik · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Andreas Lyager · CZE1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1*
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Matej Zagar · CZE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU1*
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Bartosz Świącik · CZE1
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRUM
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Matej Zagar · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 18 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h NE
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| CZE | GRU | CZE | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.4 | 14 | +2.6 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 4 | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Andreas Lyager | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Bartosz Świącik | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Dawid Wawrzyniak | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.