WRO vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 19, 2018 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden2 2 1 2 29
- 10Damian Dróżdż0 00
- 11Maciej Janowski3 3 2 3 112+1
- 12Max Fricke2 1 0 0 14+2
- 13Vaclav Milik3 3 0 1 29
- 14Przemysław Liszka3 0 14
- 15Maksym Drabik2 D 2 3 07+1
- 1Jason Doyle1 2 3 2 08
- 3Paweł Przedpełski0 2 2 2 06+1
- 4Chris Holder1 1 02+1
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 3 3 314
- 6Marcin Kościelski0 00
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 1 1 14
- 8Jack Holder3 W 1 3 1 311
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Marcin Kościelski · TOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Max Fricke · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Maksym Drabik · WROD
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Marcin Kościelski · TOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2
- Max Fricke · WRO1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 29 → 24 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h E
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| WRO | TOR | WRO | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.5 | 14 | +5.5 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 7.3 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 4 | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.2 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.3 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Chris Holder | 3 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 12.0 | 9 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.