TAR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 19, 2018 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen2 2 3 3 212+2
- 10Artur Mroczka3 3 0 1 310
- 11Jakub Jamróg2 2 2 2 210+2
- 12Peter Kildemand3 1 1 16
- 13Kenneth Bjerre2 1 2 3 19+1
- 14Kacper Konieczny0 0 00
- 15Patryk Rolnicki3 1 04+1
- 1Leon Madsen1 3 3 3 3 316
- 2Tobiasz Musielak0 00
- 3Adrian Miedziński1 3 2 2 2 010
- 4Matej Zagar0 2 1 1 0 15+2
- 5Fredrik Lindgren3 U3
- 6Michał Gruchalski2 0 D 13
- 7Bartosz Świącik1 T1+1
- 8Andreas Lyager1 01
Heat by heat
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE2
- Bartosz Świącik · CZE1*
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Peter Kildemand · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2*
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1
- Matej Zagar · CZE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1*
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Peter Kildemand · TAR1
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2*
- Andreas Lyager · CZE1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZED
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Matej Zagar · CZE1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Peter Kildemand · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Andreas Lyager · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Peter Kildemand · TAR1
- Matej Zagar · CZE0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2*
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1*
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 24 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TAR | CZE | TAR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 6.1 | 10 | +3.9 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 14.8 | 16 | +1.2 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Andreas Lyager | 2 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Bartosz Świącik | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Kacper Konieczny | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 2 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 11.1 | 5 | -6.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.