GRU vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 19, 2018 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Antonio Lindbäck3 3 3 2 112
- 10Kai Huckenbeck1 1 1 14+1
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki3 1 2 W 28+1
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 3 1 18+2
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 3 2 314
- 14Dawid Wawrzyniak1 1 24
- 15Kamil Wieczorek3 1 15
- 1Jacob Thorssell0 T 00
- 2Piotr Protasiewicz2 3 2 0 310
- 3Patryk Dudek2 2 2 3 3 214
- 4Grzegorz Zengota0 W 0 00
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 1 3 0 08
- 6Damian Pawliczak2 0 13
- 7Mateusz TonderW W W 00
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU1
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE0
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU3
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE2
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU2
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 2 km/h N
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GRU | ZIE | GRU | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 2.0 | 5 | +3.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| Dawid Wawrzyniak | 3 | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 12.3 | 14 | +1.7 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 4 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 2 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 4 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 4.6 | 0 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.