GOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 12, 2018 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 2 3 D11
- 10Grzegorz Walasek1 0 01
- 11Martin Vaculik2 1 3 3 110+1
- 12Szymon Woźniak1 2 1 1 16+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 1 3 2 312
- 14Hubert Czerniawski0 0 00
- 15Rafał Karczmarz3 2 W 16+2
- 1Tai Woffinden2 3 2 1 210+2
- 2Damian Dróżdż00
- 3Maciej Janowski3 3 1 3 313
- 4Vaclav Milik0 2 3 0 27+1
- 5Max Fricke1 2 2 2 07
- 6Maksym Drabik2 0 1 1 0 26+1
- 7Przemysław Liszka1 0 W1+1
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1*
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Max Fricke · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GORW
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Max Fricke · WRO2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Max Fricke · WRO2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GORD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 20 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h S
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 31 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GOR | WRO | GOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.9 | 13 | +3.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.7 | 12 | +0.3 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Hubert Czerniawski | 3 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Maksym Drabik | 6 | 9.1 | 6 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.