CZE vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 12, 2018 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa

Results

CZE 52 : 38 ZIE
CZE
ZIE

Heat by heat

Heat 165.79 s3:3
Heat 265.41 s2:4
Heat 364.78 s5:1
Heat 464.19 s4:2
Heat 565.27 s5:1
Heat 665.12 s3:3
Heat 764.92 s4:2
Heat 865.84 s3:3
Heat 965.16 s4:2
Heat 1065.64 s3:3
Heat 1166.29 s3:3
Heat 1266.00 s1:5
Heat 1365.05 s4:2
Heat 1467.06 s3:3
Heat 1565.39 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
24 → 23 °C
Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Wind
5 km/h SW
gusts up to 15 km/h
Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
37 %
Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41410+4−4
5–7126+6−6
8–10108+2−2
11–13810−2+2
14–1584+4−4
CZEZIECZEZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead CZE
0510115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2-254 %
3+277 %
4+483 %
5+894 %
6+895 %
7+1097 %
8+1098 %
9+1299 %
10+12100 %
11+12100 %
12+898 %
13+10100 %
14+10100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Leon Madsen511.615+3.4
Mateusz Tonder42.86+3.2
Fredrik Lindgren511.314+2.7
Adrian Miedziński58.09+1.0
Matej Zagar58.79+0.3
Michał Gruchalski32.83+0.2
Piotr Protasiewicz56.97+0.1
Jacob Thorssell56.06+0.0
Michael Jepsen Jensen58.98-0.9
Tobiasz Musielak43.22-1.2
Damian Pawliczak22.51-1.5
Patryk Dudek610.89-1.8
Grzegorz Zengota33.71-2.7
Bartosz Świącik32.80-2.8

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 67.0664.19 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 30.0:30.7 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −2.97 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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