TAR vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 29, 2018 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen3 2 1 2 D 19+1
- 10Artur Mroczka2 W 2 D 04+1
- 11Jakub Jamróg0 0 2 35
- 12Peter Kildemand2 3 1 2 08+1
- 13Kenneth Bjerre3 1 1 16
- 14Dawid Knapik1 01
- 15Patryk Rolnicki3 1 0 15+1
- 1Martin Vaculik1 1 2 3 29+2
- 2Szymon Woźniak0 2 3 27+1
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 3 3 214+1
- 4Grzegorz Walasek1 2 0 1 15+2
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 3 3 314
- 6Rafał Karczmarz2 1 03
- 7Hubert Czerniawski0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2
- Dawid Knapik · TAR1
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Peter Kildemand · TAR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Peter Kildemand · TAR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Dawid Knapik · TAR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Artur Mroczka · TARW
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Peter Kildemand · TAR1*
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TARD
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Peter Kildemand · TAR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1
- Nicki Pedersen · TARD
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR1
- Peter Kildemand · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 25 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.7 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TAR | GOR | TAR | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 10.3 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 4 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 6.3 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.4 | 14 | +1.6 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Dawid Knapik | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Hubert Czerniawski | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 12.0 | 9 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.