GRU vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 29, 2018 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki1 2 2 3 311+1
- 10Kai Huckenbeck00
- 11Antonio Lindbäck2 1 3 3 312+1
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 2 1 17+1
- 13Artem Laguta2 3 3 3 3 216+1
- 14Dawid WawrzyniakD 00
- 15Kamil Wieczorek1 1 D 02+1
- 16Krystian Pieszczek0 11+1
- 2Paweł Przedpełski2 0 2 2 1 07+2
- 3Rune HoltaW0
- 4Chris Holder3 1 1 1 2 19+1
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 3 1 0 010
- 6Daniel Kaczmarek3 0 25
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński2 0 02+1
- 8Jack Holder3 2 0 1 28+1
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRUD
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRUD
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h NW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GRU | TOR | GRU | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 7.7 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.9 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 14.3 | 16 | +1.7 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 4 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 10.5 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Rune Holta | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Dawid Wawrzyniak | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.