WRO vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 1, 2018 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden2 3 3 3 314
- 10Damian Dróżdż0 1 0 01
- 11Maciej Janowski3 3 1 3 212+1
- 12Vaclav Milik0 2 3 16+1
- 13Max Fricke3 3 3 3 012
- 14Przemysław Liszka2 0 13+1
- 15Maksym Drabik3 2 1 39+1
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 1 D 2 17+1
- 2Artur Mroczka1 0 2 2 16
- 3Jakub Jamróg1 1 2 1 05+3
- 4Peter Kildemand2 2 1 2 29+1
- 5Kenneth Bjerre1 2 2 05
- 6Patryk Rolnicki1 0 0 01
- 7Kacper Konieczny0 D0
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO2*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Peter Kildemand · TAR2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Kacper Konieczny · TARD
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2*
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Peter Kildemand · TAR2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Nicki Pedersen · TARD
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Peter Kildemand · TAR1*
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1*
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Peter Kildemand · TAR2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Peter Kildemand · TAR2
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR1*
- Max Fricke · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 18 → 19 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h NE
- gusts up to 34 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| WRO | TAR | WRO | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 5 | 6.7 | 12 | +5.3 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 5.8 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 12.1 | 14 | +1.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Maksym Drabik | 4 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Kacper Konieczny | 2 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 4 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 4 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.0 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.4 | 7 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.