TOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 1, 2018 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Jason Doyle3 3 3 W 211
- 10Paweł Przedpełski22+1
- 11Rune Holta1 3 2 2 19+1
- 12Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 1 3 311+2
- 13Chris Holder2 3 2 3 010+1
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 0 01
- 15Daniel Kaczmarek3 3 06
- 16Jack Holder1 1 02
- 1Grzegorz Zengota0 1 3 1 1 17
- 2Kacper Gomolski2 0 13
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 2 0 2 312
- 4Piotr Protasiewicz0 1 1 13+2
- 5Patryk Dudek1 2 0 2 05
- 6Sebastian Niedźwiedź2 0 3 38
- 7Mateusz TonderD 00
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · ZIE2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIED
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Rune Holta · TOR1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1
- Kacper Gomolski · ZIE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · ZIE1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h N
- gusts up to 49 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | ZIE | TOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 4 | 2.8 | 8 | +5.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 7.9 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 3.7 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 1 | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Jack Holder | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 9.4 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.0 | 5 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.