GOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 1, 2018 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak2 2 2 2 311+1
- 10Grzegorz Walasek3 1 W 1 16+1
- 11Martin Vaculik3 3 2 3 213+1
- 12Linus Sundstroem2 1 1 04+2
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 315
- 14Alan Szczotka0 0 00
- 15Hubert Czerniawski3 1 15
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki0 2 2 0 2 06
- 2Kai Huckenbeck1 01
- 3Krzysztof Buczkowski0 2 1 2 1 28
- 4Antonio Lindbäck1 1 02+1
- 5Artem Laguta2 3 3 3 3 115
- 6Kamil Wieczorek1 0 12+2
- 7Dawid Wawrzyniak2 0 02
- 8Krystian Pieszczek00
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR3
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU2
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1*
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 15 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h N
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GOR | GRU | GOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.2 | 15 | +2.8 |
| Hubert Czerniawski | 3 | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 13.7 | 15 | +1.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 8.0 | 8 | -0.0 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Dawid Wawrzyniak | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 9.6 | 6 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.