TAR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 8, 2018 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 2 313
- 10Artur Mroczka0 0 1 12
- 11Peter Kildemand0 2 3 1 28+1
- 12Jakub Jamróg2 3 2 0 18+2
- 13Kenneth Bjerre3 1 3 3 212+1
- 14Kacper Konieczny0 0 00
- 15Patryk Rolnicki2 1 14
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen3 1 2 3 110
- 2Kacper Gomolski1 0 0 23
- 3Patryk Dudek1 3 0 0 37
- 4Grzegorz Zengota3 2 2 3 010+1
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz2 2 1 1 06
- 6Alex Zgardziński1 1 24+2
- 7Sebastian Niedźwiedź3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Kacper Gomolski · ZIE1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE3
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Peter Kildemand · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Peter Kildemand · TAR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Kacper Gomolski · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Kacper Gomolski · ZIE0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Peter Kildemand · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Kacper Gomolski · ZIE2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE2*
- Peter Kildemand · TAR1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Peter Kildemand · TAR2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 17 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h SE
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TAR | ZIE | TAR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 8.2 | 13 | +4.8 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.2 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Kacper Konieczny | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.8 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 11.7 | 7 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.