GOR vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 8, 2018 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik3 2 2 3 313
- 10Linus Sundstroem1 1 0 2 15+2
- 11Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 3 3 315
- 12Szymon Woźniak1 0 1 02
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 214+1
- 14Alan Szczotka1 01+1
- 15Rafał Karczmarz2 2 04+1
- 16Hubert CzerniawskiW0
- 1Jason DoyleW0
- 2Paweł Przedpełski2 2 1 05+1
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen2 1 3 1 07+1
- 4Grzegorz Walasek0 2 1 14+1
- 5Rune Holta1 3 2 2 D8
- 6Daniel Kaczmarek3 0 0 25
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński0 00
- 8Jack Holder1 2 W 2 16+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2
- Alan Szczotka · GOR1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2*
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR1
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Rune Holta · TORD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h E
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 6 | +5 | −5 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GOR | TOR | GOR | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +13 | 100 % |
| 13 | +13 | 100 % |
| 14 | +15 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 9.6 | 15 | +5.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.1 | 13 | +3.9 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.4 | 14 | +2.6 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 4 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Hubert Czerniawski | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Alan Szczotka | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 1 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 7.4 | 2 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.