TOR vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 18, 2017 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 44 : 46 ZIE

TOR

9Chris Holder2 2 2 3 09+2
10Michael Jepsen Jensen3 1 3 0 29+1
11Adrian MiedzińskiW 1 2 2 W5
12Paweł Przedpełski2 0 1 14+1
13Greg Hancock3 2 3 1 211
14Daniel Kaczmarek3 0 14+1
15Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 1 02

ZIE

1Patryk Dudek1 3 1 3 311+1
2Jarosław Hampel0 2 2 3 310+1
3Jason Doyle1 3 1 27+1
4Jacob Thorssell3 1 0 04
5Piotr Protasiewicz2 3 3 2 111
6Alex Zgardziński2 0 0 13
7Mateusz Tonder0 0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 158.88 s5:1

Heat 259.78 s4:2

Heat 358.54 s2:4

Heat 458.91 s4:2

Heat 559.50 s1:5

Heat 659.59 s2:4

Heat 759.38 s3:3

Heat 859.44 s3:3

Heat 959.63 s5:1

Heat 1059.34 s3:3

Heat 1159.66 s1:5

Heat 1259.44 s3:3

Heat 1359.34 s4:2

Heat 1459.84 s2:4

Heat 1559.81 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 25 → 22 °C; Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Wind: 10 km/h W; gusts up to 26 km/h; Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 53 %; Measured · Torun, 3 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	6	12	−6	+6
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	4	8	−4	+4
	TOR	ZIE	TOR	ZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+6	89 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+2	69 %
6	0	66 %
7	0	60 %
8	0	57 %
9	+4	88 %
10	+4	84 %
11	0	48 %
12	0	57 %
13	+2	74 %
14	0	56 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Patryk Dudek	5	7.9	11	+3.1
Michael Jepsen Jensen	5	6.2	9	+2.8
Chris Holder	5	7.5	9	+1.5
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	9.8	11	+1.2
Daniel Kaczmarek	3	2.9	4	+1.1
Greg Hancock	5	10.4	11	+0.6
Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński	3	1.8	2	+0.2
Jarosław Hampel	5	10.0	10	+0.0
Alex Zgardziński	4	3.1	3	-0.1
Paweł Przedpełski	4	4.2	4	-0.2
Jacob Thorssell	4	5.2	4	-1.2
Jason Doyle	4	8.4	7	-1.4
Mateusz Tonder	3	3.4	0	-3.4
Adrian Miedziński	5	9.1	5	-4.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.8458.54 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 36.0:27.3 outside C + D

Trend ◀ +0.10

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source