GRU vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 4, 2017 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz

Results

GRU 33 : 45 TOR
GRU
TOR

Heat by heat

Heat 164.54 s4:2
Heat 266.35 s1:5
Heat 366.12 s5:1
Heat 465.96 s3:3
Heat 565.77 s2:4
Heat 665.58 s3:3
Heat 766.20 s3:3
Heat 866.14 s1:5
Heat 966.89 s3:3
Heat 1066.82 s2:4
Heat 1167.19 s1:5
Heat 1266.48 s3:3
Heat 1367.35 s2:4
Heat 14
    Heat 15

      Conditions

      Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

      Sky
      Rain
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Temperature
      23 → 21 °C
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Wind
      8 km/h S
      gusts up to 24 km/h
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Rain during the meeting
      3.5 mm
      Rain likely: a second model agrees
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Rain in the 24 hours before
      5.6 mm
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Humidity
      65 %
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)

      Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

      Match by phase

      Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

      PointsBalance
      1–41311+2−2
      5–7810−2+2
      8–10612−6+6
      11–13612−6+6
      GRUTORGRUTOR

      The match heat by heat

      Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

      • Lead GRU
      -12-10-8-6-4-202113
      HeatLeadHome win chance
      1+279 %
      2-254 %
      3+277 %
      4+273 %
      5064 %
      6066 %
      7060 %
      8-435 %
      9-428 %
      10-615 %
      11-101 %
      12-101 %
      13-120 %

      Pre-meeting expectation

      Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

      RiderheatsExpectedScored±
      Greg Hancock48.212+3.8
      Antonio Lindbäck45.88+2.2
      Chris Holder47.59+1.5
      Krzysztof Buczkowski59.811+1.2
      Michael Jepsen Jensen46.27+0.8
      Rafał Okoniewski11.32+0.7
      Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński32.53+0.5
      Adrian Miedziński47.17-0.1
      Daniel Kaczmarek33.43-0.4
      Grzegorz Walasek45.34-1.3
      Kamil Wieczorek54.63-1.6
      Mike Trzensiok31.90-1.9
      Artem Laguta48.56-2.5
      Krystian Pieszczek45.93-2.9

      Track & gates

      Heat times

      Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

      slower 67.3564.54 faster

      Starting gates

      One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

      Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

      Inside vs outside

      Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

      inside A + B 27.0:25.7 outside C + D
      Trend ▶ −1.19 towards the outside
      Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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