TOR vs RYB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 28, 2017 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder2 1 3 3 09+2
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 1 17
- 11Adrian Miedziński2 1 3 2 311
- 12Grzegorz Walasek1 3 1 1 28+2
- 13Greg Hancock2 3 3 3 213
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 0 01
- 15Daniel Kaczmarek3 1 04+1
- 1Damian Baliński1 2 1 3 D7+1
- 2Rafał Szombierski0 00
- 3Max Fricke0 1 D 2 14+1
- 4Tobiasz Musielak3 2 2 T 0 310
- 5Grigorij Laguta3 3 2 2 2 113
- 6Kacper Woryna2 0 0 0 13
- 7Lars Skupien0 00
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Damian Baliński · RYB1
- Rafał Szombierski · RYB0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Lars Skupien · RYB0
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR1*
- Max Fricke · RYB0
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR1*
- Lars Skupien · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR3
- Damian Baliński · RYB2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Rafał Szombierski · RYB0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB2
- Max Fricke · RYB1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB2
- Damian Baliński · RYB1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Max Fricke · RYBD
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB2
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Max Fricke · RYB2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Damian Baliński · RYB3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB2
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR2*
- Max Fricke · RYB1
- Damian Baliński · RYBD
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 27 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h S
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 31 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TOR | RYB | TOR | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 5.3 | 10 | +4.7 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 6 | 10.3 | 13 | +2.7 |
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Rafał Szombierski | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Lars Skupien | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.8 | 4 | -4.8 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.5 | 3 | -5.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.