GOR vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 28, 2017 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 45 : 45 ZIE

GOR

9Niels Kristian Iversen3 1 1 1 17+2
10Linus Sundstroem0 2 2 04
11Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 1 1 18+1
12Martin Vaculik1 1 2 3 07+1
13Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 2 2 312
14Alan Szczotka3 0 03
15Rafał Karczmarz2 1 14+3

ZIE

1Patryk Dudek1 0 3 1 2 29+3
2Jarosław Hampel2 3 0 38
3Jason Doyle2 1 3 3 211+1
4Andriy Karpov0 2 0 02
5Piotr Protasiewicz3 3 3 2 011
6Alex Zgardziński1 0 0 34
7Mateusz Burzyński0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 159.72 s3:3

Heat 261.22 s5:1

Heat 359.79 s4:2

Heat 460.50 s3:3

Heat 560.28 s3:3

Heat 659.50 s3:3

Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
Andriy Karpov · ZIE2
Jason Doyle · ZIE1*
Alan Szczotka · GOR0

Heat 760.12 s3:3

Heat 859.75 s3:3

Heat 960.57 s3:3

Heat 1060.38 s3:3

Heat 1160.22 s2:4

Heat 1261.27 s1:5

Heat 1360.31 s4:2

Heat 1461.47 s1:5

Heat 1560.37 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 27 → 23 °C; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind: 4 km/h S; gusts up to 25 km/h; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 39 %; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	GOR	ZIE	GOR	ZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+6	90 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+6	90 %
6	+6	88 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+6	89 %
10	+6	92 %
11	+4	88 %
12	0	57 %
13	+2	74 %
14	-2	23 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Jarosław Hampel	4	4.7	8	+3.3
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	7.7	11	+3.3
Bartosz Zmarzlik	5	10.3	12	+1.7
Alex Zgardziński	4	2.6	4	+1.4
Rafał Karczmarz	3	2.9	4	+1.1
Jason Doyle	5	10.1	11	+0.9
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	8.0	8	-0.0
Linus Sundstroem	4	4.0	4	-0.0
Alan Szczotka	3	3.1	3	-0.1
Andriy Karpov	4	3.8	2	-1.8
Martin Vaculik	5	9.2	7	-2.2
Mateusz Burzyński	2	2.2	0	-2.2
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	9.5	7	-2.5
Patryk Dudek	6	11.8	9	-2.8

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.4759.50 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 28.0:34.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.93 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source