RYB vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Wednesday, July 12, 2017 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Damian Baliński1 1 2 04+1
- 10Fredrik Lindgren2 3 0 2 D7
- 11Max Fricke1 3 D 3 3 212
- 12Tobiasz Musielak2 1 3 17
- 13Rafał Szombierski1 1 D2+1
- 14Lars Skupien2 0 02+1
- 15Kacper Woryna3 2 1 1 07+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel3 2 3 2 313
- 2Andriy Karpov0 0 2 02+1
- 3Patryk DudekW 3 1 3 29
- 4Jason Doyle3 2 3 3 112+1
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz3 2 2 2 110+2
- 6Alex Zgardziński1 0 12+1
- 7Mateusz Burzyński0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB2
- Damian Baliński · RYB1*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Lars Skupien · RYB2*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Mateusz Burzyński · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB2
- Max Fricke · RYB1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIEW
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Rafał Szombierski · RYB1*
- Mateusz Burzyński · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · RYB3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
- Rafał Szombierski · RYB1
- Lars Skupien · RYB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Damian Baliński · RYB1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Rafał Szombierski · RYBD
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Damian Baliński · RYB2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB0
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Mateusz Burzyński · ZIE1
- Max Fricke · RYBD
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · RYB3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1*
- Lars Skupien · RYB0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB1
- Damian Baliński · RYB0
- Max Fricke · RYB3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Max Fricke · RYB2
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYBD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 24 → 19 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h SW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.4 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| RYB | ZIE | RYB | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 6 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 4.1 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 10.2 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Lars Skupien | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Rafał Szombierski | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Mateusz Burzyński | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Andriy Karpov | 4 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.