WRO vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 7, 2017 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden3 2 W 3 0 08
- 10Andzejs Lebedevs0 3 0 1 15
- 11Maciej Janowski2 3 2 3 3 215+1
- 12Tomasz Jędrzejak3 2 0 D 1 06+1
- 14Damian Dróżdż2 0 24+1
- 15Maksym Drabik3 3 D 06
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 1 W 26+2
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 3 3 2 314+2
- 3Krzysztof KasprzakU0
- 4Martin Vaculik1 1 1 3 3 312+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik1 2 2 2 2 110+1
- 6Rafał Karczmarz1 1 1 D3
- 7Hubert Czerniawski0 00
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO2*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Maksym Drabik · WROD
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WROD
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GORD
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 11 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 38 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 83 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 10 | −3 | +3 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| WRO | GOR | WRO | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +9 | 98 % |
| 13 | +5 | 96 % |
| 14 | +1 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 8.4 | 15 | +6.6 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 11.4 | 14 | +2.6 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 3 | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 11.4 | 12 | +0.6 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 6 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Maksym Drabik | 4 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 1 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Hubert Czerniawski | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 12.5 | 10 | -2.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 11.2 | 8 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.