RYB vs GRU

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 5, 2017 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik

Results

RYB 57 : 33 GRU
RYB
GRU

Heat by heat

Heat 163.95 s5:1
Heat 263.66 s5:1
Heat 363.73 s4:2
Heat 464.15 s5:1
Heat 564.30 s1:5
Heat 663.23 s5:1
Heat 763.66 s4:2
Heat 863.54 s3:3
Heat 964.21 s3:3
Heat 1063.68 s3:3
Heat 1163.96 s5:1
Heat 1264.48 s4:2
Heat 1364.43 s4:2
Heat 1464.79 s3:3
Heat 1564.07 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Rain → Showers
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
13 °C
Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Wind
14 km/h NW
gusts up to 24 km/h
Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Rain during the meeting
1.4 mm
Rain likely: a second model agrees
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
2.9 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
85 %
Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4195+14−14
5–7108+2−2
8–109900
11–13135+8−8
14–156600
RYBGRURYBGRU

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead RYB
5101520115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+896 %
3+1098 %
4+14100 %
5+1096 %
6+1499 %
7+16100 %
8+16100 %
9+16100 %
10+16100 %
11+20100 %
12+22100 %
13+24100 %
14+24100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Fredrik Lindgren59.914+4.1
Grigorij Laguta57.511+3.5
Robert Chmiel31.95+3.1
Max Fricke58.811+2.2
Kacper Woryna58.09+1.0
Damian Baliński32.03+1.0
Tobiasz Musielak44.04-0.0
Krzysztof Buczkowski58.57-1.5
Krystian Pieszczek68.77-1.7
Rafał Okoniewski23.01-2.0
Artem Laguta612.210-2.2
Antonio Lindbäck59.37-2.3
Dawid Wawrzyniak33.41-2.4
Kamil Wieczorek32.90-2.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 64.7963.23 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 33.7:29.7 outside C + D
Trend ◀ +0.10
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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