GRU vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 30, 2017 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Krystian Pieszczek1 3 3 2 312+1
- 10Antonio Lindbäck3 1 1 27+1
- 11Rafał Okoniewski1 0 3 3 07+1
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 2 3 312+1
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 2 3 011
- 14Kamil Wieczorek3 0 03
- 15Mateusz Rujner1 2 03+1
- 1Leon Madsen2 3 3 2 1 213
- 2Rune Holta0 1 1 1 14+1
- 3Sebastian Ułamek3 1 0 0 15+2
- 4Andreas Jonsson0 2 2 0 26
- 5Matej Zagar1 0 12
- 6Oskar Polis2 2 0 15+1
- 7Michał Gruchalski0 00
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU1
- Rune Holta · CZE0
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU3
- Oskar Polis · CZE2
- Mateusz Rujner · GRU1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE0
- Sebastian Ułamek · CZE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1*
- Andreas Jonsson · CZE0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Mateusz Rujner · GRU2*
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Rune Holta · CZE1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Andreas Jonsson · CZE2
- Sebastian Ułamek · CZE1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU3
- Oskar Polis · CZE2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Matej Zagar · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Rune Holta · CZE1
- Mateusz Rujner · GRU0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU3
- Andreas Jonsson · CZE2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Sebastian Ułamek · CZE0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Oskar Polis · CZE0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Rune Holta · CZE1
- Sebastian Ułamek · CZE0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Oskar Polis · CZE1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Andreas Jonsson · CZE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Andreas Jonsson · CZE2
- Rune Holta · CZE1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Sebastian Ułamek · CZE1*
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 10 → 11 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h NE
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | CZE | GRU | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 6.0 | 12 | +6.0 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.7 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 10.8 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Oskar Polis | 4 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Mateusz Rujner | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Sebastian Ułamek | 5 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 2 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Matej Zagar | 3 | 6.3 | 2 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.