ZIE vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 22, 2017 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek3 2 2 3 212+3
- 10Jarosław Hampel0 3 3 06
- 11Jason Doyle2 2 3 3 313+2
- 12Andriy Karpov3 3 2 0 W8+1
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz3 U 3 1 310
- 14Sebastian Niedźwiedź0 1 01
- 15Alex Zgardziński2 1 14
- 1Greg Hancock2 0 02
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 2 2 2 08+2
- 3Chris Holder0 2 02+1
- 4Grzegorz Walasek1 3 1 3 1 110+1
- 5Adrian Miedziński0 1 1 2 26
- 6Daniel Kaczmarek3 0 1 15+1
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 2 03
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Greg Hancock · TOR0
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIEU
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Greg Hancock · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR1*
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR1*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR1
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 6 → 5 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 19 km/h W
- gusts up to 44 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| ZIE | TOR | ZIE | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.2 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 7.2 | 10 | +2.8 |
| Andriy Karpov | 5 | 5.4 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 4 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 12.3 | 13 | +0.7 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Chris Holder | 3 | 6.0 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Greg Hancock | 3 | 6.2 | 2 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.