RYB vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 16, 2017 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Fredrik Lindgren2 0 2 1 16
- 10Damian Baliński1 1 D2+1
- 11Max Fricke3 2 3 0 210+1
- 12Tobiasz MusielakT 3 1 3 07
- 13Rory Schlein3 W 1 1 27+1
- 14Kacper Woryna2 1 3 2 19+1
- 15Robert Chmiel3 1 04
- 1Tai Woffinden3 1 3 2 110+1
- 2Szymon Woźniak0 00
- 3Maciej Janowski2 2 1 3 311
- 4Vaclav Milik0 1 3 04
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs2 2 2 2 2 313+2
- 6Maksym Drabik1 3 0 3 D7
- 7Oskar Bober0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB2
- Damian Baliński · RYB1*
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO0
- Robert Chmiel · RYB3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Oskar Bober · WRO0
- Max Fricke · RYB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Rory Schlein · RYB3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1
- Oskar Bober · WRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB3
- Max Fricke · RYB2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Rory Schlein · RYBW
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO2*
- Damian Baliński · RYB1
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO2*
- Rory Schlein · RYB1
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Damian Baliński · RYBD
- Max Fricke · RYB3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB1
- Oskar Bober · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Rory Schlein · RYB1*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Max Fricke · RYB0
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO2
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Rory Schlein · RYB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB1
- Maksym Drabik · WROD
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO3
- Max Fricke · RYB2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 22 → 17 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| RYB | WRO | RYB | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 4.3 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 10.7 | 13 | +2.3 |
| Robert Chmiel | 3 | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Rory Schlein | 5 | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Damian Baliński | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 11.2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 2 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Oskar Bober | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.