GRU vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 16, 2017 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Antonio Lindbäck3 2 3 1 09+2
- 10Krystian Pieszczek0 3 2 1 28+1
- 11Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 2 3 111
- 12Rafał Okoniewski2 T W 24+1
- 13Artem Laguta2 3 3 3 W11
- 14Kamil Wieczorek2 0 13+1
- 15Mike Trzensiok3 0 U 03
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 2 2 0 210+2
- 2Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 1 04+1
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak1 1 1 36+1
- 4Martin Vaculik0 2 0 13
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 1 3 2 3 315
- 6Hubert CzerniawskiW 0 00
- 7Alan Szczotka1 1 13
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU0
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU3
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU2*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Alan Szczotka · GOR1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRUU
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Alan Szczotka · GOR1
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 22 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 4 km/h SW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| GRU | GOR | GRU | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 13.4 | 15 | +1.6 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 4 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 3 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Martin Vaculik | 4 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Hubert Czerniawski | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.