ZIE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 1, 2017 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 0 1 2 17+1
- 10Andriy Karpov1 1 D2
- 11Jason Doyle2 0 3 16
- 12Patryk Dudek1 3 1 3 3 314+1
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz1 3 1 2 3 111+2
- 14Mateusz Tonder0 00
- 15Alex Zgardziński2 2 0 04
- 1Martin Vaculik0 2 2 26+2
- 2Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 3 1 29+1
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 2 0 29+1
- 4Linus Sundstroem0 1 3 04+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 2 1 09
- 6Rafał Karczmarz3 2 3 08+1
- 7Hubert Czerniawski1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE2
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1*
- Jason Doyle · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIED
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h SW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 80 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| ZIE | GOR | ZIE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.5 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 4.6 | 8 | +3.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 4 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Andriy Karpov | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Hubert Czerniawski | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Martin Vaculik | 4 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.