WRO vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 20, 2017 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden2 2 2 2 1 09
- 10Szymon Woźniak0 1 1 13+3
- 11Maciej JanowskiD 1 3 1 38+1
- 12Vaclav Milik3 2 0 1 0 17
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs1 01+1
- 14Damian Dróżdż2 13
- 15Maksym Drabik1 2 2 3 08+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel3 3 3 2 213+1
- 2Jacob Thorssell1 0 1 35
- 3Patryk Dudek1 2 3 0 17+2
- 4Piotr Protasiewicz2 3 0 2 29+1
- 5Jason Doyle3 3 2 3 314
- 6Sebastian Niedźwiedź3 0 03
- 7Alex Zgardziński0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE1
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO0
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE3
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Maciej Janowski · WROD
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO1*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO1*
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 16 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| WRO | ZIE | WRO | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.6 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.1 | 14 | +3.9 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 2 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | -0.0 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 2 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.