TOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 20, 2017 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Paweł Przedpełski0 2 1 3 17+1
- 10Jack Holder2 3 3 2 010+1
- 11Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 2 3 311+1
- 12Grzegorz Walasek1 2 1 04+2
- 13Chris Holder1 2 1 3 29+1
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński2 0 13+1
- 15Daniel Kaczmarek3 2 05
- 1Antonio Lindbäck3 3 2 2 2 214+1
- 2Krystian Pieszczek1 0 3 15
- 3Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 2 0 311
- 4Rafał Okoniewski0 1 01
- 5Artem Laguta3 1 3 1 D 19+2
- 6Kamil Wieczorek0 D 00
- 7Mike Trzensiok1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU1
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRUD
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR1*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · TOR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Artem Laguta · GRUD
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1*
- Jack Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 19 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h W
- gusts up to 23 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.1 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | GRU | TOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Holder | 5 | 5.0 | 10 | +5.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.3 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 12.9 | 14 | +1.1 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.0 | 9 | -0.0 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 3 | 5.3 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 14.4 | 9 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.